So who’s going to come out ahead? With no head-to-head data, it’s impossible to predict, but we’ll say this: Anisimova (who, if she wins, would be the first American women’s Wimbledon champion since Serena Williams in 2016, and the youngest since Serena in 2003), plays a very intense, hard-hitting game from the baseline, and—maybe crucially, in this case—hits the ball with little or no spin. This makes her margins for error razor-thin, and with her nerves likely on edge in the biggest match of her career, how she handles the pressure may prove to be everything here. She’s also very capable—much like Aryna Sabalenka, whom she beat to get to the final—of becoming undone when things don’t go her way. Self-control will be key.
Swiatek, on the other hand, hits with equal intensity from the baseline but uses heavy topspin, which can make her shots sometimes magically drop in the court. She also moves faster and better than Anisimova. That combination should be enough to beat Anisimova in two tight sets. The wildcard: Swiatek, normally stoic and focused on the court, has occasionally seemed distracted or at odds with herself this season. This one could come down to a battle of nerves, with the steadier player stealing tennis’s biggest title.
As to The Rematch: Could Alcaraz vs. Sinner get any better than what the world marveled at in Paris? Unbelievably—or, on the other hand, obviously—we’re going to get to find out. Both Sinner (seeded first) and Alcaraz (second) rolled through their earlier matches to get here, with only Alcaraz suffering some minor hiccups along the way, losing a set here or there. (Who would have thought that Alcaraz would have more trouble with Taylor Fritz in the semis than Sinner had with 24-time major winner Novak Djokovic?) Sinner’s lead-up has been impeccable—save for what seems to be a minor tweak to the elbow of his left arm. Nobody in the Sinner camp, of course, will spill state secrets about how he’s really feeling, but it seems to be mostly fine, and if that’s the case, we’re all level-up for the final. Head-to-head, Alcaraz leads, 8-4, including 3-1 in major tournaments, all finals. Add to that the fact that grass is Alcaraz’s best surface—there’s a reason he’s the two-time defending champion here—and it would seem to be a lock, yes?