Poll guru Nate Silver who was bashed for his wrong prediction of a neck-and-neck fight between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the election said he has a lot of sympathy for Kamala Harris because she only got tough assignments from President Joe Biden. Biden gave her the border during the administration and then after it was Kamala Harris’ race, Biden kept on stepping on her message.
In his latest post-election blog post, Nate Silver who predicted a narrow win for Trump, wrote that the White House badmouthed Harris to reporters saying that she was a worse option than Biden.
If Biden contested against Donald Trump
“When Biden dropped out, he was trailing Donald Trump by 4 points in our national polling average. I actually think the final margin would have gotten worse, not better. There would have been another debate and further campaign stumbles. Biden’s fundraising was completely drying up. And like Harris, Biden might have slightly underperformed his polls on Election Day. So I can see Biden losing by 6 to 8 points, probably losing New Hampshire — and maybe Virginia, New Mexico, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, Minnesota and even New Jersey, where Harris prevailed by just 5.6 points,” Nate wrote.
Biden undermined her but Harris campaign did not criticize Biden
Nate Silver said Harris’s campaign comprising mostly ex-Biden people was reluctant to criticize Biden “out of fear of being perceived as disloyal” but Biden frequently undermined her.
“The other big negative is Harris’s strongly left-wing positions as a presidential candidate in 2019. She may have tried to pivot to the center in this campaign, but it was a clumsy effort at best given a lack of explanation for why she’d abandoned her previous positions or what her agenda would actually look like,” Silver wrote.
Kamala Harris is a replacement-level politician
Silver wrote Kamala Harris has plenty of talent and sometimes and sometimes, replacement-level talent is good enough in a pinch. But this was a difficult electoral environment for Democrats.